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The Sun Belt Priced Itself Out. Here’s Where Americans Are Moving Instead (new Census migration data)

America’s relocation boom is running out of steam. Interstate migration fell to a 10-year low in 2024, according to StorageCafe’s analysis of the latest U.S. Census Bureau data. The Sun Belt states that defined the post-pandemic relocation wave are losing ground as affordability erodes in markets that once sold themselves on cost.

At the same time, Americans’ motivations for moving are changing. For the first time in years, getting closer to family has overtaken jobs and cost of living as the top reason to relocate — a sign that caution is starting to outweigh opportunity-driven moves.

Key takeaways:

  • Sun Belt gains are cooling, Nevada isn’t. Texas and Florida still rank #1 and #2, but their net inflows have been cut in half as affordability declines. Home prices are up 124% in Texas and 144% in Florida over the past decade. Nevada, however, is bucking the trend: net in-migration more than doubled (+132% YoY), fueled by a strong California-to-Nevada relocation corridor. Home values continue to work in Nevada’s favor, remaining roughly 40% lower than in California.
  • The Midwest is back on the map. Ohio broke into the national top 10 (~+29K net after a losing 2023), while Michigan (#12) returned to net gains and Wisconsin (#14) held steady. Migration corridors tell the story: Florida to Ohio (homes ~40% cheaper); Florida and California to Michigan (~36% and ~67% cheaper, respectively); and Minnesota and Illinois to Wisconsin (home prices ~14% lower than Minnesota, rents ~14% lower than Illinois).
  • The unlikeliest migration magnet? Tiny, cold, and not exactly cheap, Vermont is adding residents faster than Texas on a per-capita basis (20+ net newcomers per 1,000 residents, the highest rate in the country). Notably, 86% of new arrivals hold a bachelor’s degree or higher. North Dakota and Wyoming are also punching above their weight, each posting 9+ net newcomers per 1,000 residents.
  • New England is emerging as a surprising homebuyer magnet. In New Hampshire, 57% of new arrivals purchase a home within their first year,the highest conversion rate in the country. Maine follows at 56%. These aren’t temporary transplants testing the waters; they’re households putting down roots, drawn by lifestyle, stability, and in New Hampshire’s case, no state income tax and proximity to Boston.
  • Gen Z just dethroned Millennials as America’s most mobile generation.  For the first time ever, 2.2 million Gen Zers crossed state lines in 2024, surpassing 2 millions Millennials. Less anchored by mortgages or children, they’re chasing both affordability and opportunity. Their top destinations include South Carolina, Missouri and Washington, D.C.
  • Coastal outflows persist, but the exodus is easing. California marked its 10th consecutive year of net domestic losses, shedding 263,000 residents in 2024. New York lost another 129,000, but its net loss narrowed sharply year over year. Together, the two states shed nearly 400,000 residents in a single year.
  • The migration slowdown is hitting self storage pricing in Sun Belt states. Street rates fell ~0.9% in Texas and around 1.5% in Florida, Arizona, and Georgia as fewer inbound movers meant softer demand. Nevada, where migration surged, is the exception — rates held flat as strong inflows absorbed available supply.

Full report and state-level rankings: https://www.storagecafe.com/blog/us-interstate-migration-trends-state-winners-losers/.

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